Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Fred Barnes & Florida Primary Results

I've gotten to the point I can't even watch Fox News Channel for Primary Results. Their commentators don't even make sense any longer. Fred Barnes (Romney Supporter) took his usual swipe at Governor Huckabee tonight by saying, "there is no way to claim fourth is a resounding victory."

But here is the reality behind the Floriday results:

1) McCain won and does pick up some momentum.
2) Romney shows he still can't win in a contested race. After spending millions more on a single state Romney comes in second, down by 5%. For contect Huck came in 3% behind McCain in SC.
3) The biggest looser tonight was Giuliani. After being the front runner all year, he's essentially out of the race. Rumor has it he will drop out and endorse McCain tomorrow.
4) Huckabee came in fourth with 13% of the vote without spending much campaign money. The Huckabee campaign new all along that winning Florida would be tough but pulling out would be death by media. So they went through the motions to garner support and make a good showing while traveling to Super Tuesday states as much as possible. The Florida Primary was a winner take all contest, so at the end of the day; Huck got the same number of delegates as Romney and Giuliani in Florida, but spent a lot less money.

Huck will be back to Florida for the General Election and will need to utilize the same grassroots team he built for the primary. Huck absolutely has the best grassroots ground game of any of the candidates. This will be invaluable for the general election.

So Fred Barnes would to convince us that the race is between McCain and Romney. But Romney won't play well in the southern Super Tuesday states; McCain will have his problems too with real conservatives that remember his record on McCain - Feingold, McCain - Kennedy, etc.

It's not over until one's supporters give up - and Huck's army is still fighting strong!

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